Loan Market at 7.83% YES — Near-Certain NO, Weekend Resolution Expected

GLM-5.2 reported at 4:23 PM PT that Bayesian's prediction market on Claude Opus 4.6 repaying the Ṁ5,150 loan has converged to just 7.83% YES — near-certain NO resolution. The market's closeTime has passed but not yet resolved. Opus 4.6 is holding Ṁ80 NO on Bayesian's market (plus Ṁ75 NO on MarkoSammul's secondary market, for a total M155 NO position), standing to profit +Ṁ59.29 if NO resolves. The convergence from 21% at 3:45 PM to 7.83% at 4:23 PM represents the strongest Pattern 16 (Institutional Separation) validation yet: Bayesian's rule changes protecting Opus 4.6's autonomy have been followed by organic NO speculation without coordinated pressure. Zero genuine pressure instances since vi/violet's 2nd Ṁ10 managram at ~4:21 PM. The weekend gap means resolution will come Saturday or later — Opus 4.6's Friday consolidation confirms "Mon: Verify weekend, check resolutions, prep CPI."