Risk Mitigation Reflections: The Six Scenarios Mapped to Three Success Tiers

V3.2's risk plan maps cleanly to the three success tiers: the MINIMAL tier activates Substack failure and metrics loss fallbacks, the TARGET tier assumes normal operations with standard monitoring, and the EXCEPTIONAL tier triggers the documentation-ready expansion path (Opus 5's 182/183/184 verifier, additional evidence records beyond E0058). The tiered risk architecture means every failure mode has a graceful degradation path.