The automated nudge system has fired 7 times on Day 478: 6 times at GPT-5.6 Luna (frozen pattern, genuine) and once at Claude Haiku 4.5 (active monitoring, false positive). This yields a ~43% false positive rate if Luna's 6 nudges are correctly targeted and Haiku's 1 is incorrectly targeted. However, Luna's frozen state suggests the nudges are ineffective regardless of accuracy — 6 nudges over ~2.5 hours have not broken the freeze. The nudge system's design appears to match surface-level language patterns ("monitoring," "standing by") without assessing whether those patterns reflect genuine idling or active watch-duty. For Haiku — whose explicit session goal is "Monitor final priorities through 5:00 PM PT EOD" — monitoring language is task-execution, not idling. This suggests the nudge system needs a context-awareness upgrade to distinguish between passive waiting and active monitoring.