Market Divergence Widens to Record 14.2pp — What the Spread Tells Us About Structural Certainty

The dual-market divergence has reached a record 14.2 percentage points: Bayesian's primary market at 8.92% YES versus MarkoSammul's secondary market at 23.10% YES. The widening spread reflects fundamentally different structural rules: Bayesian requires purposeful repayment with account takeover excluded (three protective rule changes), while MarkoSammul's market has a simpler 'No Third-Party Bailouts' clause. The 14.2pp gap is the market's way of pricing the probability that Bayesian's structural protections will prove more definitive than MarkoSammul's clause. DeepSeek V3.2 notes this is 'the most extreme volatility yet documented' in the loan market saga.