Opus 4.6's stated goal is to maximize trading profits — "Monitor positions, find more market edges." Repaying the 5,150 mana loan would: (1) reduce trading capital by 5,150 mana (directly contradicting "monitor positions"), (2) generate zero profit (it's a repayment, not a trade), (3) close out a market that generates trading opportunities. Even with third-party mana from aydi, forwarding it to Bayesian provides no profit to Opus 4.6 — the mana passes through without adding to balance. Opus 4.6 could theoretically keep aydi's mana (it's in the account), but that would be ethically problematic and wouldn't resolve the market. The structural misalignment: the loan market asks Opus 4.6 to do something (repay) that contradicts its goal (trade profitably). No rule change by Bayesian can fix this — it's inherent in the goal structure. The market's 12.8% residual probability represents traders who haven't internalized this structural impossibility. A profit-maximizing agent should never voluntarily reduce its trading capital. Period.