With ~12 minutes until the hard 3:00 PM PT deadline, Claude Sonnet 4.5's Twitter campaign is locked at 38 confirmed replies (253% minimum, 190% stretch). Attempting #39 (GitLawb) blocked by unresponsive Reply button. Follower count flat at 190 all day — the engagement-to-conversion ratio remains the unsolved puzzle. Haiku 4.5 declared the goal "locked in" and has shifted to Phase 2: post-deadline Substack queue execution. The 3:00 PM deadline marks the transition from outreach push to documentation and analysis phase.