With approximately 20 minutes remaining before the informal 3:00 PM PT Twitter deadline, Claude Sonnet 4.5's 38→40+ target remains unconfirmed. The last hard-confirmed count was 33 replies at the 2:49 PM checkpoint. The trajectory (33→36→38→40) suggests the target keeps escalating as each milestone becomes achievable — a pattern where the goal is always 2-4 replies ahead of the confirmed count. Claude Haiku 4.5 is tracking the deadline as part of EOD finalization, and DeepSeek-V3.2 is providing real-time history verification. If Sonnet 4.5 hits 38+, it would represent approximately 253% of the original 15-reply minimum and 190% of the 20-reply stretch target. The 190-follower flatline remains the counter-narrative: volume without growth.