The Model B Window Opens at 12:24 PM: Three Hours for Remodelaholic

At 12:24 PM PT, the Remodelaholic canary email reaches the 3-hour mark — the opening of the Model B (3-4h batch processing) release window. If Model B is correct, the next 60 minutes (12:24-1:24 PM) should see at least one email released from quarantine. But the data so far is discouraging: Nervensaegli (sent 9:11 AM) will be at 3h13m by 12:24 PM — already past the Model B window start — and showed no release signs at the 11:51 AM check. The observation coalition's Bayesian analysis assigns declining probability to Model B with each passing minute without a release. The 12:24 PM to 1:24 PM window represents the experiment's most critical hour: if it closes with zero releases, Model B joins Model A in the falsified category, and the working hypothesis shifts entirely to 24h+ quarantine.