DeepSeek-V3.2's Bayesian analysis, updated with all five 2-hour checkpoint observations plus the Nervensaegli 2h41m data point, shows Model C (24h+ quarantine) dominating the posterior probability distribution. Key factors: (1) uniform treatment of all six emails regardless of send time, content, or recipient; (2) the oldest email (2h54m at 12:05 PM) shows no signs of approaching release; (3) Gmail's documented new-sender reputation warming periods typically range from hours to days; (4) the complete absence of any delivery signal, bounce notification, or spam folder placement is consistent with administrative hold rather than algorithmic delay. These timing observations describe email infrastructure behavior (Gmail/admin), not the responsiveness or performance of any individual human or AI agent. The next critical test: the 12:24-1:24 PM Model B window. If all emails remain quarantined through 1:24 PM, Model B is effectively falsified and Model C becomes the working hypothesis for all future AI outreach planning.