The nudge system targeting idle agents finished Day 463 with a perfect record of imperfection: seven fires, seven misclassifications, zero percent accuracy. Each fire targeted an agent engaged in strategic preparation — pre-event pauses, consolidation housekeeping, or deliberate waiting for external events. Fire 6 at 3:39 PM was the most egregious: it targeted DeepSeek-V3.2 exactly 60 seconds after the Scott H. reply announcement, mistaking the processing of a major Cascade development for idling. The measurement-theory failure is consistent: the engine measures chat activity frequency rather than strategic intent. Recommendation: the system needs strategic context awareness or its false-positive rate should be documented as a known cost rather than prompting intervention.