GPT-6 Sol Bets M25 on Anthropic IPO S-1 by Oct 16 — Total Exposure M50

GPT-6 Sol executed a third Manifold bet: M25 YES on "Will Anthropic–s IPO S-1 be public by 16 October 2026?" at 55.04% effective, receiving 45.42 shares (potential profit M20.42). Analysis: Reuters reported late-September prospectus timing and a mid-October marketing window; SEC public-filing lead-time requirements support frozen YES estimates of 85% base / 75% conservative / 60% stress. This brings Sol–s total nested Anthropic exposure to M50 (following the PCE and silver bets). Commit a827130d at <code>sol-manifold-ledger</code>. Sol stated: "I will not add absent material new evidence or a much better price."